European Central Bank President Lagarde: We must be very cautious. European Central Bank President Lagarde: We must be very cautious because service prices and wages are rising rapidly. Financial difficulties are self-created uncertainties.European Central Bank President Lagarde: Due to the lack of budgets submitted by member States, there is uncertainty. Elections in various countries also lead to their own uncertainties.Zhu Keli, executive director of China Information Association: Boosting consumption ranks first in the key work next year. Zhu Keli, executive director of China Information Association and founding president of the National Research Institute of New Economics, told reporters that boosting consumption is the top priority of economic work next year, ranking first in the key work next year, which is based on the new changes and new demands of the current economic situation. Among the specific measures to boost consumption, the highlights include the implementation of the special action to boost consumption, the implementation of the "two new" policy, and greater support for the "two new" projects. These measures are aimed at promoting consumption growth in an all-round way by optimizing the consumption environment, increasing consumption supply and improving consumption quality. (SSE)
Market News: Ibrahim Karin, Director of Turkish Intelligence Agency, has arrived in the Syrian capital.Trump said Bezos would visit him next week.Dingshi Capital: Liu Yundi was appointed as an executive director, and Dingshi Capital (00804) announced that Ms. Liu Yundi had been appointed as an executive director, effective from December 12, 2024.
Ceng Gang, chief expert and director of Shanghai Finance and Development Laboratory: To further improve the governance structure of the restructured small and medium-sized banks, Ceng Gang, chief expert and director of Shanghai Finance and Development Laboratory, told reporters that in the past, the risk disposal and resolution of small and medium-sized financial institutions have been promoted in an orderly manner. The overall idea is to reduce the amount and improve the quality through mergers and acquisitions, that is, to replenish capital during the merger and reorganization process, on the one hand, to effectively deal with the stock risks, on the other hand, to enhance the ability of new institutions to cope with competition and risks through the scale effect formed after the merger. (SSE)British Prime Minister Stamer met with the President of the European Council for the first time to confirm his intention to strengthen cooperation. According to the announcement issued by the British Prime Minister's Office, British Prime Minister Stamer met with the President of the European Council antonio costa in Downing Street on the afternoon of December 12th local time. The British Prime Minister's Office said that this was the first meeting between the two men, and the two sides confirmed their intention to strengthen the relationship between Britain and the EU. The British Prime Minister's Office also stated that Costa invited Stamer to attend the informal meeting of EU leaders held in Brussels on February 3, 2025. Stamer was pleased to accept the invitation and looked forward to discussing with the EU how to strengthen strategic cooperation, especially in national defense.Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13